Landscape metrics, Street canopy, Sky view factor, Urban morphology, Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR), Street view image, Land surface temperature
With climate change, some coastal urban regions once characterized by mild oceanic climates, are becoming increasingly hot in the summer. Urban design can modify urban landscapes to mitigate the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, but many strategies are constrained in high-density urban centers where large-scale layouts are difficult to alter. Yet noting that streets are among the more modifiable public spaces in high-density urban areas, this paper examines how relationships between street-level Sky View Factors (SVF), other indicators of urban morphology, and UHI are interconnected in different parts of a mid-latitude coastal urban area, Metro Vancouver.
This study found an expected positive correlation coefficient of 0.484 (p < 0.05) between SVF and UHI intensity before considering other variables and spatial context. In areas that are equally distant from water bodies, have similar forest cover near streets, and possess comparable urban patch sizes, a 0.2 decrease in SVF (which ranges from 0 to 1) corresponds to a reduction of 0.08 °C–0.15 °C in urban heat island intensity (measured in ∆LST).
Yet when supplementing aspatial OLS regression with geographically weighted regression (GWR), the study is able to identify how a number of commonly understood individual relationships between SVF, urban morphology, and UHI are actually substantially and consequentially variable in effect and significance depending on geographical context. In areas closer to the coast, SVF's effects on UHI are not significant, but with increasing distance to the sea, SVF has significant and greater influence on UHI intensity.
Additionally, scale matters–water has a weak negative correlation (−0.291) with UHI intensity at a more granular 150 m scale but moderate negative correlation (0.463) at the coarser scale of 900 m gridded data; forest cover provides stronger heat island mitigation at small scales (0.73 at 150 m; while 0.62 at 900 m).
The study illustrates how methods attentive to geographical context and spatial interactions can serve as the basis for more locally appropriate planning recommendations as well as for more robust generalizations about what can cause and mitigate UHI. Our findings suggest creating more street shading and promoting accessibility to heat sinks, especially in urban areas farther from the coast, while also offering guidance on integrating societal contexts more directly into UHI research as concerns about climate inequalities grow.